Jesse ‘Bam’ Rodriguez Vs. Srisaket Sor Rungvisai: Odds, Records, Predictions


Jesse “Bam” Rodriguez does not have the experience of Srisaket Sor Rungvisai. He doesn’t have the kind of top notch CV that Sor Rungvisai has spent the past eight years formulating. But Rodriguez has some advantages over one of the best 115-pounders of the past decade, and to defend his world super flyweight title he will need to use them on Saturday night against Sor Rungvisai. Here’s everything you need to know about Jesse “Bam” Rodriguez vs. Srisaket Sor Rungvisai, including the odds, their best times and a prediction on who will win.

Rodriguez showed just how good he is by edging out Carlos Cuadras in February to win his world title. But considering Sor Rungvisai has more than three times as many professional fights as he does, Rodriguez knows the kind of experienced talent he faces on Saturday.

“Fighting a guy like Rungvisai is going to take me to a whole new level,” Rodriguez said. “He’s a great fighter but it’s my turn now. You have to take risks in this sport, that’s what special fighters do. They said it was a risk for me to challenge a fight for the world title on short notice, and now they’re saying it’s a risk to take a fighter like Rungvisai. But that’s what I want. These are the types of fights you need for the fans to remember you long after your career is over.

Even though most top super flyweight stars age quickly, Rodriguez still has time to potentially clean up the division and become a next-gen star. The top three stars at 115 pounds are Juan Francisco Estrada (who was, until recently, on my pound-for-pound list), Roman “Chocolatito” Gonzalez, and Sor Rungvisai. Cuadras, for the past decade, has been No. 4.

Now that Rodriguez has dispatched Cuadras, he can turn his attention to the Big 3. A win over Sor Rungvisai would allow the boxing world that Rodriguez deserves mention alongside Estrada and Chocolatito.

“Jesse may be the youngest current world champion, but this is a fight where he can prove he already belongs to the best in boxing,” said his trainer, Robert Garcia. “We have a lot of respect for Rungvisai. We know what he’s capable of, and he’s a great, great fighter but I also know what Jesse is capable of. I have so much faith in him and I know he’s ready for this.

Besides his youth and freshness, another plus for Rodriguez is that Sor Rungvisai hasn’t been active lately. He’s only fought once in the last 19 months, and he hasn’t faced a true elite fighter since losing a close decision to Estrada in 2019. He’s also now 35 , so Rodriguez could catch him at the right time.

But as Sor Rungvisai said“Now I’m hungrier than ever.”

Here’s more information on the Jesse “Bam” Rodriguez vs. Srisaket Sor Rungvisai showdown that US viewers can watch on DAZN starting at 8 p.m. ET.

Jesse “Bam” Rodriguez vs. Srisaket Sor Rungvisai Odds

Rodriguez is a solid favorite, but there’s good value on Sor Rungvisai if you think he’s still viable as a 115-pound champion. As of this writing, Rodriguez is a -500 favorite (bet $500 to win $100), while Sor Rungvisai is a +350 underdog (win $350 on a $100 bet). I’m not sure Sor Rungvisai will win, but if he does I’d lean more for the stoppage win, so +650 prop bet would be tempting. If I had to bet Rodriguez, I’d go with a decision win at -138.

If you were looking for a fun bet for this weekend’s boxing action (and this is for entertainment purposes only) I could take Rodriguez to win by decision at -138, Jessica McCaskill to beat Alma Ibarra by decision at -225 and Murodjon Akhmadaliev to stop Ronny Rios at -163. All of this would return $302 on a $100 bet.

Jesse “Bam” Rodriguez Records vs. Srisaket Sor Rungvisai

He started his career as a teenager, and so far Rodriguez has been perfect as a professional boxer, going 15-0 with 10 knockouts. The 22-year-old is coming off the biggest win of his career against Cuadras, but remember he is just two years away from facing opponents with records of 18-6-3 and 25- 12-2. So he doesn’t have a ton of experience.

Despite his recent inactivity, Sor Rungvisai (50-5-1, 43 KOs) has an impressive resume, twice beating opponents like Chocolatito and Estrada. But he also lost to Estrada and Cuadras, so he’s definitely not unbeatable at this level. If Rodriguez isn’t an elite talent, he’ll struggle to get the win.

Prediction Jesse “Bam” Rodriguez vs Srisaket Sor Rungvisai

As great as Sor Rungvisai is, he hasn’t scored a victory against an elite opponent since 2018. The question is whether Rodriguez is elite enough to win. I think he is, and he’s young and fresh enough to survive Sor Rungvisai. As long as he avoids the massive power of Sor Runvisai, I see Rodriguez winning a close but clear decision. Somewhere in the 116-112 range.


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